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ENG Anglie - Pohár EFL · Zápas ·

Cardiff vs Swindon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích69%
Remíza18%
Výhra hostů13%
Market-based forecastVýhra domácíchTier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích69% selection probability
Projected score2–1CardiffSwindon
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více53% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
69% / 18% / 13%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Swindon win (13.4%)Dvojitá šance1X86.6%1.15
Více 53% · Méně 47%Goals 2.5Více53%1.89
Ano 53% · Ne 47%Oba týmy skórujíAno53%1.89
2.76 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.1 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽádné
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cardiff win69%1.451.3071.5%
Remíza18%5.565.5016.9%
Swindon win13%7.698.0011.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cardiff1.84

Domácí share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 53% · Méně 47%

Swindon0.92

Hosté share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 53% · Ne 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Cardiff

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomácí won 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Swindon

0.00pts / match
Odehráno1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Body0

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Výhra probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.84
Expected goals
0.92
CardiffSwindon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cardiff signalDomácí won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Swindon signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Cardiff vs Swindon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cardiff výhra 69%,Remíza 18%,Swindon výhra 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Více 2.5 53% · Current selection Více