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ENG Англия - Кубок Футбольной лиги · Матч ·

Кардифф vs Суиндон

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев68%
Ничья18%
Победа гостей14%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 68% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев68% selection probability
Projected score2–1КардиффСуиндон
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
68% / 18% / 14%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Суиндон win (14.3%)Двойной шанс1X85.7%1.17
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.75 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Кардифф win68%1.471.3370.5%
Ничья18%5.565.5017%
Суиндон win14%7.147.5012.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Кардифф1.82

Хозяева share of expected goals 66.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

Суиндон0.93

Гости share of expected goals 33.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Кардифф

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Суиндон

0.00pts / match
Сыграно1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Баллы0

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.82
Expected goals
0.93
КардиффСуиндон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Кардифф signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Суиндон signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Кардифф vs Суиндон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Кардифф выигрыш 68%,Ничья 18%,Суиндон выигрыш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше