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ENG Αγγλία - EFL Κύπελλο · Αγώνας ·

Κάρντιφ vs Σουίντον

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου69%
Ισοπαλία18%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου13%
Market-based forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου69% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΚάρντιφΣουίντον
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω53% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
69% / 18% / 13%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σουίντον win (13.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X86.6%1.15
Άνω 53% · Κάτω 47%Goals 2.5Άνω53%1.89
Ναι 53% · Όχι 47%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53%1.89
2.76 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimΚαμία
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Κάρντιφ win69%1.451.3071.5%
Ισοπαλία18%5.565.5016.9%
Σουίντον win13%7.698.0011.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κάρντιφ1.84

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 53% · Κάτω 47%

Σουίντον0.92

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 53% · Όχι 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κάρντιφ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σουίντον

0.00pts / match
Αγώνες1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι0

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.84
Expected goals
0.92
ΚάρντιφΣουίντον
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κάρντιφ signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σουίντον signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Κάρντιφ vs Σουίντον FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κάρντιφ νίκη 69%,Ισοπαλία 18%,Σουίντον νίκη 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Άνω 2.5 53% · Current selection Άνω