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ENG England EFL Cup · Kamp ·

Cardiff vs Swindon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier69%
Uavgjort18%
Borteseier13%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier69% selection probability
Projected score2–1CardiffSwindon
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
69% / 18% / 13%KampresultatHjemmeseier69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Swindon win (13.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X86.6%1.15
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.76 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cardiff win69%1.451.3071.5%
Uavgjort18%5.565.5016.9%
Swindon win13%7.698.0011.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cardiff1.84

Hjemme share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Swindon0.92

Borte share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Cardiff

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Swindon

0.00pts / match
Spilt1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Poeng0

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.84
Expected goals
0.92
CardiffSwindon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cardiff signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Swindon signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Cardiff vs Swindon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cardiff vunnet 69%,Uavgjort 18%,Swindon vunnet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over