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ENG Inghilterra - EFL Cup · Partita ·

Cardiff vs Swindon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa69%
Pareggio18%
Vittoria ospite13%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa69% selection probability
Projected score2–1CardiffSwindon
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
69% / 18% / 13%Esito partitaVittoria casa69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Swindon win (13.4%)Doppia Chance1X86.6%1.15
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.76 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cardiff win69%1.451.3071.5%
Pareggio18%5.565.5016.9%
Swindon win13%7.698.0011.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cardiff1.84

Casa share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

Swindon0.92

Trasferta share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Cardiff

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Swindon

0.00pts / match
Giocate1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punti0

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Vinta probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.84
Expected goals
0.92
CardiffSwindon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cardiff signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Swindon signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Cardiff vs Swindon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cardiff vinta 69%,Pareggio 18%,Swindon vinta 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra