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カーディフ vs スウィンドン

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利69%
引き分け18%
アウェイ勝利13%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利69% selection probability
Projected score2–1カーディフスウィンドン
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
69% / 18% / 13%試合結果ホーム勝利69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes スウィンドン win (13.4%)ダブルチャンス1X86.6%1.15
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.76 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
カーディフ win69%1.451.3071.5%
引き分け18%5.565.5016.9%
スウィンドン win13%7.698.0011.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

カーディフ1.84

ホーム share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

スウィンドン0.92

アウェイ share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

カーディフ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

スウィンドン

0.00pts / match
試合数1Wins0Drawn0Losses1ポイント0

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
勝ち probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.84
Expected goals
0.92
カーディフスウィンドン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01カーディフ signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02スウィンドン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

カーディフ vs スウィンドン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

カーディフ 勝ち 69%,引き分け 18%,スウィンドン 勝ち 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー