Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 25% / 32%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Hartlepool win43%2.33
Draw25%4.00
Barrow win32%3.13
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.5%
Total expected goals2.88Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%
Away share of expected goals 45.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchHartlepool
LWWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchBarrow
L
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
32%7
Points from supplied form
01.57
Expected goals
1.31HartlepoolBarrow
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Hartlepool vs Barrow FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Hartlepool win 43%，Draw 25%，Barrow win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.88 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over。