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ENG England Southern Premier League South · Fixture ·

Chichester City vs Poole Town

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw26%
Away win44%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Chichester CityPoole Town
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 26% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.01 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chichester City win30%3.333.2028.1%
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%
Poole Town win44%2.271.9546.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chichester City1.43

Home share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Poole Town1.58

Away share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Chichester City

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Poole Town

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.43
Expected goals
1.58
Chichester CityPoole Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chichester City signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Poole Town signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Chichester City vs Poole Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chichester City win 30%,Draw 26%,Poole Town win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over