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BRA Brazil Serie B · Round 21 ·

Вила-Нова vs Спорт Ресифи

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей34%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Вила-НоваСпорт Ресифи
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 29% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Двойной шанс1270.5%1.42
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Вила-Нова win37%2.70
Ничья29%3.45
Спорт Ресифи win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Вила-Нова1.31

Хозяева share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Спорт Ресифи1.20

Гости share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Вила-Нова

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Спорт Ресифи

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Баллы4

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.20
Вила-НоваСпорт Ресифи
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Вила-Нова signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Спорт Ресифи signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Вила-Нова vs Спорт Ресифи FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Вила-Нова выигрыш 37%,Ничья 29%,Спорт Ресифи выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше