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BRA Brazil Serie B · Round 20 ·

Сеара vs Понте-Прета

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев66%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей12%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев66% selection probability
Projected score2–1СеараПонте-Прета
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
66% / 22% / 12%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Понте-Прета win (11.9%)Двойной шанс1X88.1%1.14
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сеара win66%1.521.4266%0.0 pp
Ничья22%4.554.2022.3%-0.3 pp
Понте-Прета win12%8.338.0011.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сеара1.89

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Понте-Прета0.74

Гости share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сеара

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Понте-Прета

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
12%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.74
СеараПонте-Прета
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сеара signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Понте-Прета signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Сеара vs Понте-Прета FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сеара выигрыш 66%,Ничья 22%,Понте-Прета выигрыш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше