Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
66% / 23% / 11%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ponte Preta win (11.2%)Dubbele Kans1X88.8%1.13
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapCeará winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ceará win66%1.521.4266.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Ponte Preta win11%9.098.5011%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 71.9%
Total expected goals2.63Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%
Uit share of expected goals 28.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCeará
WLDDL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchPonte Preta
DLLLL
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1
SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
66%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
11%5
Points from supplied form
11.89
Expected goals
0.74CearáPonte Preta
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Ceará vs Ponte Preta FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ceará gewonnen 66%，Gelijkspel 23%，Ponte Preta gewonnen 11%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.63 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder。