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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Final ·

FC Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–2Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC KuressaareHarju JK Laagri
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 26% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dubbele Kans1273.7%1.36
Boven 45% · Onder 55%Goals 2.5Onder55%1.82
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.47 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapHarju JK Laagri winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Kuressaare win37%2.702.3837.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Harju JK Laagri win37%2.702.4536.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kuressaare1.08

Thuis share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 45% · Onder 55%

Harju JK Laagri1.39

Uit share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Harju JK Laagri

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
1.39
FC KuressaareHarju JK Laagri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kuressaare signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Harju JK Laagri signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kuressaare gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 26%,Harju JK Laagri gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Boven 2.5 45% · Current selection Onder