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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Wedstrijd ·

SJK vs IF Gnistan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.59 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1SJKIF Gnistan
Expected goals3.59Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven70% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 26% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dubbele Kans1274.1%1.35
Boven 70% · Onder 30%Goals 2.5Boven70%1.43
Ja 68% · Nee 32%Beide teams scorenJa68%1.47
3.59 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapSJK winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SJK win46%2.172.0544.9%+1.1 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
IF Gnistan win29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SJK2.13

Thuis share of expected goals 59.3%

Total expected goals3.59Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 70% · Onder 30%

IF Gnistan1.46

Uit share of expected goals 40.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nee 32%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

SJK

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

IF Gnistan

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.13
Expected goals
1.46
SJKIF Gnistan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SJK signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Gnistan signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SJK vs IF Gnistan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SJK gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 26%,IF Gnistan gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Boven 2.5 70% · Current selection Boven