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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Fixture ·

SJK vs IF Gnistan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.59 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw26%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1SJKIF Gnistan
Expected goals3.59Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 26% / 29%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.59 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapSJK winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SJK win46%2.172.0544.9%+1.1 pp
Draw26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
IF Gnistan win29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SJK2.13

Home share of expected goals 59.3%

Total expected goals3.59Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

IF Gnistan1.46

Away share of expected goals 40.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SJK

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

IF Gnistan

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.13
Expected goals
1.46
SJKIF Gnistan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SJK signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Gnistan signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SJK vs IF Gnistan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SJK win 46%,Draw 26%,IF Gnistan win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over