Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 26% / 19%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon Siedlce win (19.2%)Double chance1X80.8%1.24
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapPolonia Bytom winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Bytom win55%1.821.6255.4%-0.4 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Pogon Siedlce win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.9%
Total expected goals2.52Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 38.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPolonia Bytom
LWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchPogon Siedlce
LDDLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
19%6
Points from supplied form
21.56
Expected goals
0.96Polonia BytomPogon Siedlce
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Polonia Bytom win 55%，Draw 26%，Pogon Siedlce win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。