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POL Poland I Liga · Partido ·

Polonia Bytom vs MKP Pogoń Siedlce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local54%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia BytomMKP Pogoń Siedlce
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
54% / 25% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MKP Pogoń Siedlce win (20.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.1%1.26
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapPolonia Bytom winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Bytom win54%1.851.6554.4%-0.4 pp
Empate25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
MKP Pogoń Siedlce win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Bytom1.56

Local share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

MKP Pogoń Siedlce0.96

Visitante share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

MKP Pogoń Siedlce

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.96
Polonia BytomMKP Pogoń Siedlce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Bytom signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MKP Pogoń Siedlce signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Polonia Bytom vs MKP Pogoń Siedlce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Bytom ganada 54%,Empate 25%,MKP Pogoń Siedlce ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de