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POL Poland I Liga · Match ·

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile54%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia BytomPogon Siedlce
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
54% / 25% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon Siedlce win (20.9%)Double chance1X79.1%1.26
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapPolonia Bytom winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Bytom win54%1.851.6554.4%-0.4 pp
Nul25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Pogon Siedlce win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Bytom1.56

Domicile share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Pogon Siedlce0.96

Extérieur share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Pogon Siedlce

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.96
Polonia BytomPogon Siedlce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Bytom signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Siedlce signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Bytom victoire 54%,Nul 25%,Pogon Siedlce victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de