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POL Poland I Liga · Матч ·

Полония Бытом vs Погонь Седльце

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев54%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Полония БытомПогонь Седльце
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
54% / 25% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Погонь Седльце win (20.9%)Двойной шанс1X79.1%1.26
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapПолония Бытом winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Полония Бытом win54%1.851.6554.4%-0.4 pp
Ничья25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Погонь Седльце win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Полония Бытом1.56

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Погонь Седльце0.96

Гости share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Полония Бытом

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Погонь Седльце

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.96
Полония БытомПогонь Седльце
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Полония Бытом signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Погонь Седльце signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Полония Бытом vs Погонь Седльце FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Полония Бытом выигрыш 54%,Ничья 25%,Погонь Седльце выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше