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POL Poland I Liga · Матч ·

Полония Варшава vs Рух Хожув

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев42%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей31%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Полония ВаршаваРух Хожув
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
42% / 27% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Двойной шанс1272.9%1.37
Больше 55% · Меньше 45%Goals 2.5Больше55%1.82
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
11.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapПолония Варшава winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Полония Варшава win42%2.382.1541.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Рух Хожув win31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Полония Варшава1.49

Хозяева share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 55% · Меньше 45%

Рух Хожув1.40

Гости share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Полония Варшава

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Рух Хожув

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.40
Полония ВаршаваРух Хожув
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Полония Варшава signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Рух Хожув signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Полония Варшава vs Рух Хожув FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Полония Варшава выигрыш 42%,Ничья 27%,Рух Хожув выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · ТБ 2.5 55% · Current selection Больше