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POL Poland I Liga · Trận đấu ·

Polonia Warsaw vs Ruch Chorzow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng43%
Hòa27%
Đội khách thắng29%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Polonia WarsawRuch Chorzow
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài55% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
43% / 27% / 29%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Cơ hội kép1272.9%1.37
Tài 55% · Xỉu 45%Goals 2.5Tài55%1.82
Có 59% · Không 41%Cả hai đội ghi bàn59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
11.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapPolonia Warsaw winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Warsaw win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Hòa27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzow win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Warsaw1.49

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 55% · Xỉu 45%

Ruch Chorzow1.40

Khách share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 59% · Không 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Polonia Warsaw

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzow

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Thắng probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.40
Polonia WarsawRuch Chorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Warsaw signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzow signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Polonia Warsaw vs Ruch Chorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Warsaw thắng 43%,Hòa 27%,Ruch Chorzow thắng 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Tài 2.5 55% · Current selection Tài