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POL Poland I Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Polonia Warsaw vs Ruch Chorzow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem42%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem31%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Polonia WarsawRuch Chorzow
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett55% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
42% / 27% / 31%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dupla esély1272.9%1.37
Felett 55% · Alatt 45%Goals 2.5Felett55%1.82
Igen 59% · Nem 41%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
11.7 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapPolonia Warsaw winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Warsaw win42%2.382.1541.8%+0.2 pp
Döntetlen27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzow win31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Warsaw1.49

Hazai share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 55% · Alatt 45%

Ruch Chorzow1.40

Vendég share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 59% · Nem 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Polonia Warsaw

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzow

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Nyert probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.40
Polonia WarsawRuch Chorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Warsaw signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzow signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Polonia Warsaw vs Ruch Chorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Warsaw nyer 42%,Döntetlen 27%,Ruch Chorzow nyer 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · 2.5 felett 55% · Current selection Felett