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POL Poland I Liga · Match ·

Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger31%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Polonia WarszawaRuch Chorzow
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 27% / 31%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dubbelchans1272.9%1.37
Över 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Över55%1.82
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
11.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapPolonia Warszawa winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Warszawa win42%2.382.1541.8%+0.2 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzow win31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Warszawa1.49

Hemma share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 55% · Under 45%

Ruch Chorzow1.40

Borta share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Polonia Warszawa

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzow

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.40
Polonia WarszawaRuch Chorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Warszawa signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzow signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Warszawa vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 27%,Ruch Chorzow vunnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Över 2.5 55% · Current selection Över