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POL Poland I Liga · Partida ·

Polónia Varsóvia vs Ruch Chorzow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa42%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante31%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Polónia VarsóviaRuch Chorzow
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima55% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
42% / 27% / 31%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dupla Chance1272.9%1.37
Acima 55% · Abaixo 45%Goals 2.5Acima55%1.82
Sim 59% · Não 41%Ambas as equipes marcamSim59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
11.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapPolónia Varsóvia winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polónia Varsóvia win42%2.382.1541.8%+0.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzow win31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polónia Varsóvia1.49

Mandante share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 55% · Abaixo 45%

Ruch Chorzow1.40

Visitante share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 59% · Não 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Polónia Varsóvia

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzow

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.40
Polónia VarsóviaRuch Chorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polónia Varsóvia signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzow signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Polónia Varsóvia vs Ruch Chorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polónia Varsóvia ganhou 42%,Empate 27%,Ruch Chorzow ganhou 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Acima 2.5 55% · Current selection Acima