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POL Poland I Liga · Maç ·

Polonia Warsaw vs Ruch Chorzow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır42%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır31%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Polonia WarsawRuch Chorzow
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst55% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
42% / 27% / 31%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Çifte Şans1272.9%1.37
Üst 55% · Alt 45%Goals 2.5Üst55%1.82
Evet 59% · Hayır 41%Karşılıklı gol varEvet59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
11.7 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapPolonia Warsaw winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Warsaw win42%2.382.1541.8%+0.2 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzow win31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Warsaw1.49

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 55% · Alt 45%

Ruch Chorzow1.40

Deplasman share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 59% · Hayır 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Polonia Warsaw

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzow

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.40
Polonia WarsawRuch Chorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Warsaw signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzow signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Polonia Warsaw vs Ruch Chorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Warsaw kazanç 42%,Beraberlik 27%,Ruch Chorzow kazanç 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · 2.5 Üst 55% · Current selection Üst