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EST Estonia Meistriliiga · Round 21 ·

FC Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.47 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır33%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır41%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır41% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC KuressaareHarju JK Laagri
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt55% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
33% / 26% / 41%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Çifte Şans1273.8%1.36
Üst 45% · Alt 55%Goals 2.5Alt55%1.82
Evet 50% · Hayır 50%Karşılıklı gol varEvet50%2.00
2.47 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapFC Kuressaare winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Kuressaare win33%3.032.6333.7%-0.7 pp
Beraberlik26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp
Harju JK Laagri win41%2.442.2040.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kuressaare1.08

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 45% · Alt 55%

Harju JK Laagri1.39

Deplasman share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 50% · Hayır 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Harju JK Laagri

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
41%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
1.39
FC KuressaareHarju JK Laagri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kuressaare signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Harju JK Laagri signalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kuressaare kazanç 33%,Beraberlik 26%,Harju JK Laagri kazanç 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · 2.5 Üst 45% · Current selection Alt