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ARG Argentina Reserve League · Maç ·

Estrella del Sur Reserves vs CA Lugano Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır36%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır36%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Estrella del Sur ReservesCA Lugano Reserves
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt57% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
36% / 28% / 36%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Çifte Şans1272.1%1.39
Üst 43% · Alt 57%Goals 2.5Alt57%1.75
Evet 49% · Hayır 51%Karşılıklı gol varHayır51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.0 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur Reserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp
CA Lugano Reserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Reserves1.20

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 43% · Alt 57%

CA Lugano Reserves1.19

Deplasman share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 49% · Hayır 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Reserves

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

CA Lugano Reserves

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
1.19
Estrella del Sur ReservesCA Lugano Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Reserves signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Lugano Reserves signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Reserves vs CA Lugano Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Reserves kazanç 36%,Beraberlik 28%,CA Lugano Reserves kazanç 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · 2.5 Üst 43% · Current selection Alt