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ARG Argentina reservide liiga · Final ·

Estrella del Sur - reservid vs CA Lugano - reservid

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score2–0Ennustus 1–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit36%
Viik28%
Võõrsilvõit36%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Estrella del Sur - reservidCA Lugano - reservid
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla57% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
36% / 28% / 36%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Topeltvõimalus1272.2%1.39
Üle 43% · Alla 57%Goals 2.5Alla57%1.75
Jah 49% · Ei 51%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.0 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur - reservid win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Viik28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp
CA Lugano - reservid win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur - reservid1.20

Kodu share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 43% · Alla 57%

CA Lugano - reservid1.19

Võõras share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 49% · Ei 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur - reservid

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

CA Lugano - reservid

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Võit probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
1.19
Estrella del Sur - reservidCA Lugano - reservid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur - reservid signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Lugano - reservid signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur - reservid vs CA Lugano - reservid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur - reservid võit 36%,Viik 28%,CA Lugano - reservid võit 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Üle 2.5 43% · Current selection Alla