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ARG Argentina - Torneo de Reserva · Partido ·

Estrella del Sur - B vs CA Lugano - B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Estrella del Sur - BCA Lugano - B
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 28% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria local36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Doble Oportunidad1272.1%1.39
Más de 43% · Menos de 57%Goals 2.5Menos de57%1.75
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur - B win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Empate28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp
CA Lugano - B win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur - B1.20

Local share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 43% · Menos de 57%

CA Lugano - B1.19

Visitante share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur - B

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Lugano - B

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
1.19
Estrella del Sur - BCA Lugano - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur - B signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Lugano - B signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur - B vs CA Lugano - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur - B ganada 36%,Empate 28%,CA Lugano - B ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Más de 2.5 43% · Current selection Menos de