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ARG Аржентина - Лига на Резервите · Мач ·

Естрела дел Сур резерви vs КА Лугано резерви

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина36%
Равен28%
Победа за госта36%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Естрела дел Сур резервиКА Лугано резерви
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
36% / 28% / 36%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Двоен шанс1272.2%1.39
Над 43% · Под 57%Goals 2.5Под57%1.75
Да 49% · Не 51%И двата отбора да отбележатНе51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.0 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Естрела дел Сур резерви win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Равен28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp
КА Лугано резерви win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Естрела дел Сур резерви1.20

Домакин share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 43% · Под 57%

КА Лугано резерви1.19

Гост share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Не 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Естрела дел Сур резерви

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

КА Лугано резерви

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
1.19
Естрела дел Сур резервиКА Лугано резерви
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Естрела дел Сур резерви signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02КА Лугано резерви signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Естрела дел Сур резерви vs КА Лугано резерви FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Естрела дел Сур резерви печеливш 36%,Равен 28%,КА Лугано резерви печеливш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Над 2.5 43% · Current selection Под