MatchFormula Finn en kamp
Menu
UTC+8
TidssoneAsia/Shanghai
Norsk
ARG Argentina Reserve League · Kamp ·

Estrella del Sur Reserves vs CA Lugano Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier36%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier36%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Estrella del Sur ReservesCA Lugano Reserves
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
36% / 28% / 36%KampresultatHjemmeseier36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dobbel sjanse1272.2%1.39
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 49% · Nei 51%Begge lag scorerNei51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur Reserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Uavgjort28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp
CA Lugano Reserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Reserves1.20

Hjemme share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

CA Lugano Reserves1.19

Borte share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nei 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Reserves

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

CA Lugano Reserves

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
1.19
Estrella del Sur ReservesCA Lugano Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Reserves signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Lugano Reserves signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Reserves vs CA Lugano Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Reserves vunnet 36%,Uavgjort 28%,CA Lugano Reserves vunnet 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under