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ARG Argentina - Liga de Reservas · Partida ·

Estrella del Sur - Reservas vs CA Lugano - Reservas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa36%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante36%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Estrella del Sur - ReservasCA Lugano - Reservas
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
36% / 28% / 36%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Dupla Chance1272.1%1.39
Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%Goals 2.5Abaixo57%1.75
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur - Reservas win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Empate28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp
CA Lugano - Reservas win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur - Reservas1.20

Mandante share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%

CA Lugano - Reservas1.19

Visitante share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur - Reservas

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Lugano - Reservas

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
1.19
Estrella del Sur - ReservasCA Lugano - Reservas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur - Reservas signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Lugano - Reservas signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur - Reservas vs CA Lugano - Reservas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur - Reservas ganhou 36%,Empate 28%,CA Lugano - Reservas ganhou 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Acima 2.5 43% · Current selection Abaixo