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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Round 21 ·

FC Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.47 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger33%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger41%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger41% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC KuressaareHarju JK Laagri
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
33% / 26% / 41%MatchresultatBortaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Dubbelchans1273.8%1.36
Över 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målJa50%2.00
2.47 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapFC Kuressaare winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Kuressaare win33%3.032.6333.7%-0.7 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp
Harju JK Laagri win41%2.442.2040.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kuressaare1.08

Hemma share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 45% · Under 55%

Harju JK Laagri1.39

Borta share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma failed to score: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Harju JK Laagri

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
41%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
1.39
FC KuressaareHarju JK Laagri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kuressaare signalHemma failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Harju JK Laagri signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kuressaare vunnen 33%,Oavgjort 26%,Harju JK Laagri vunnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Över 2.5 45% · Current selection Under