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POL Poland I Liga · Матч ·

Сталь Мелец vs Сталь Жешув

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев47%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей28%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Сталь МелецСталь Жешув
Expected goals3.74Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше72% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа70% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
47% / 25% / 28%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Двойной шанс1275.3%1.33
Больше 72% · Меньше 28%Goals 2.5Больше72%1.39
Да 70% · Нет 30%Обе забьютДа70%1.43
3.74 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
11.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Сталь Мелец win47%2.13
Ничья25%4.00
Сталь Жешув win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сталь Мелец2.23

Хозяева share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals3.74Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 72% · Меньше 28%

Сталь Жешув1.51

Гости share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 70% · Нет 30%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сталь Мелец

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сталь Жешув

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.23
Expected goals
1.51
Сталь МелецСталь Жешув
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сталь Мелец signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сталь Жешув signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Сталь Мелец vs Сталь Жешув FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сталь Мелец выигрыш 47%,Ничья 25%,Сталь Жешув выигрыш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · ТБ 2.5 72% · Current selection Больше