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POL Poland I Liga · Mecz ·

Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy47%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości28%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Stal MielecStal Rzeszów
Expected goals3.74Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej72% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak70% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
47% / 25% / 28%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Podwójna szansa1275.3%1.33
Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%Goals 2.5Powyżej72%1.39
Tak 70% · Nie 30%Obie drużyny strzeląTak70%1.43
3.74 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
11.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Stal Mielec win47%2.13
Remis25%4.00
Stal Rzeszów win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stal Mielec2.23

Gospodarze share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals3.74Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%

Stal Rzeszów1.51

Goście share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 70% · Nie 30%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Stal Mielec

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Stal Rzeszów

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.23
Expected goals
1.51
Stal MielecStal Rzeszów
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stal Mielec signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stal Rzeszów signalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stal Mielec wygrana 47%,Remis 25%,Stal Rzeszów wygrana 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Powyżej 2.5 72% · Current selection Powyżej