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ポロニアビトム vs ポゴニ・シェドルツェ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利54%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利21%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利54% selection probability
Projected score2–1ポロニアビトムポゴニ・シェドルツェ
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
54% / 25% / 21%試合結果ホーム勝利54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ポゴニ・シェドルツェ win (20.9%)ダブルチャンス1X79.1%1.26
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 49% · いいえ 51%両チーム得点いいえ51%1.96
2.52 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapポロニアビトム winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ポロニアビトム win54%1.851.6554.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
ポゴニ・シェドルツェ win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ポロニアビトム1.56

ホーム share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

ポゴニ・シェドルツェ0.96

アウェイ share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 49% · いいえ 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ポロニアビトム

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ポゴニ・シェドルツェ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
勝ち probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.96
ポロニアビトムポゴニ・シェドルツェ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ポロニアビトム signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ポゴニ・シェドルツェ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ポロニアビトム vs ポゴニ・シェドルツェ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ポロニアビトム 勝ち 54%,引き分け 25%,ポゴニ・シェドルツェ 勝ち 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー