Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
54% / 25% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon Siedlce win (20.9%)Dubbele Kans1X79.1%1.26
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapPolonia Bytom winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Bytom win54%1.851.6554.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Pogon Siedlce win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 61.9%
Total expected goals2.52Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%
Uit share of expected goals 38.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPolonia Bytom
LWLWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchPogon Siedlce
LDDLL
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2
SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%6
Points from supplied form
21.56
Expected goals
0.96Polonia BytomPogon Siedlce
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Polonia Bytom gewonnen 54%，Gelijkspel 25%，Pogon Siedlce gewonnen 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.52 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder。