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POL Poland I Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst28%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Miedz LegnicaPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 28% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dubbele Kans1272.4%1.38
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
11.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Miedz Legnica win44%2.27
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miedz Legnica1.69

Thuis share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.15

Uit share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Miedz Legnica

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.69
Expected goals
1.15
Miedz LegnicaPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miedz Legnica signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miedz Legnica gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 28%,Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven