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POL Poland I Liga · Kamp ·

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr44%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr28%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Miedz LegnicaPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
44% / 28% / 28%KampresultatHjemmesejr44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dobbeltchance1272.4%1.38
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Begge hold scorerJa56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Miedz Legnica win44%2.27
Uafgjort28%3.57
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miedz Legnica1.69

Hjemme share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.15

Ude share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Miedz Legnica

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalUde unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vundet probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.69
Expected goals
1.15
Miedz LegnicaPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miedz Legnica signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalUde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miedz Legnica vundet 44%,Uafgjort 28%,Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vundet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over