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Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
BRA Brazil Serie B · Round 20 ·

Вила Нова vs Спорт Ресифе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина42%
Равен30%
Победа за госта28%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Вила НоваСпорт Ресифе
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
42% / 30% / 28%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Спорт Ресифе win (28.2%)Двоен шанс1X71.8%1.39
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Вила Нова win42%2.382.2541.9%+0.1 pp
Равен30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
Спорт Ресифе win28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Вила Нова1.31

Домакин share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Спорт Ресифе1.20

Гост share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Вила Нова

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Спорт Ресифе

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Точки4

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.20
Вила НоваСпорт Ресифе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Вила Нова signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Спорт Ресифе signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Вила Нова vs Спорт Ресифе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Вила Нова печеливш 42%,Равен 30%,Спорт Ресифе печеливш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под