Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
37% / 29% / 34%KampresultatHjemmesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Dobbeltchance1270.5%1.42
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Begge hold scorerJa51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1——
10.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Vila Nova win37%2.70
Uafgjort29%3.45
Sport Recife win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Hjemme share of expected goals 52.2%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Ude share of expected goals 47.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Hjemme-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchVila Nova
LWLLW
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6
SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5
Ude-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchSport Recife
DDDDL
Spillet5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Point4
SignalUde unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Vundet probability excluding draw
34%6
Points from supplied form
41.31
Expected goals
1.20Vila NovaSport Recife
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Vila Nova vs Sport Recife FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Vila Nova vundet 37%，Uafgjort 29%，Sport Recife vundet 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。