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BRA 巴西乙級聯賽 · Round 20 ·

維拉諾華 vs 史樸拉菲

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝42%
30%
客勝28%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝42% selection probability
Projected score1–1維拉諾華史樸拉菲
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.554% for the selected side
雙方進球51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
42% / 30% / 28%比賽結果主勝42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 史樸拉菲 win (28.2%)雙重機會1X71.8%1.39
大 46% · 小 54%Goals 2.554%1.85
是 51% · 否 49%雙方進球51%1.96
2.51 total expected goals正確比分1–1
10.3 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
維拉諾華 win42%2.382.2541.9%+0.1 pp
30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
史樸拉菲 win28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

維拉諾華1.31

主隊 share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 46% · 54%

史樸拉菲1.20

客隊 share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

維拉諾華

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

史樸拉菲

0.80pts / match
5Wins0Drawn4Losses1積分4

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
贏 probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.20
維拉諾華史樸拉菲
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01維拉諾華 signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02史樸拉菲 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

維拉諾華 vs 史樸拉菲 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

維拉諾華 42%, 30%,史樸拉菲 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · 大2.5 46% · Current selection