Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
42% / 30% / 28%Esito partitaVittoria casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sport Recife win (28.2%)Doppia Chance1X71.8%1.39
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vila Nova win42%2.382.2541.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
Sport Recife win28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 52.2%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%
Trasferta share of expected goals 47.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchVila Nova
LWLLW
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6
SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchSport Recife
DDDDL
Giocate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punti4
SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Vinta probability excluding draw
28%6
Points from supplied form
41.31
Expected goals
1.20Vila NovaSport Recife
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Vila Nova vs Sport Recife FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Vila Nova vinta 42%，Pareggio 30%，Sport Recife vinta 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto。