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BRA Brazil Serie B · Partita ·

Botafogo SP vs America MG

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa50%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite20%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo SPAmerica MG
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
50% / 30% / 20%Esito partitaVittoria casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes America MG win (19.7%)Doppia Chance1X80.3%1.25
Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%Goals 2.5Sotto64%1.56
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.12 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
11.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapAmerica MG winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo SP win50%2.001.8550.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.1030%0.0 pp
America MG win20%5.004.7519.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo SP1.35

Casa share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%

America MG0.77

Trasferta share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Botafogo SP

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

America MG

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vinta probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.35
Expected goals
0.77
Botafogo SPAmerica MG
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo SP signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02America MG signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Botafogo SP vs America MG FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo SP vinta 50%,Pareggio 30%,America MG vinta 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Sopra 2.5 36% · Current selection Sotto