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BRA ブラジル セリエB · 試合 ·

ボタフォゴSP vs アメリカMG

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利50%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利20%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利50% selection probability
Projected score1–1ボタフォゴSPアメリカMG
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー64% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
50% / 30% / 20%試合結果ホーム勝利50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アメリカMG win (19.7%)ダブルチャンス1X80.3%1.25
オーバー 36% · アンダー 64%Goals 2.5アンダー64%1.56
はい 40% · いいえ 60%両チーム得点いいえ60%1.67
2.12 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
11.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapアメリカMG winDifference+0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ボタフォゴSP win50%2.001.8550.3%-0.3 pp
引き分け30%3.333.1030%0.0 pp
アメリカMG win20%5.004.7519.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ボタフォゴSP1.35

ホーム share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 36% · アンダー 64%

アメリカMG0.77

アウェイ share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 40% · いいえ 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ボタフォゴSP

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アメリカMG

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
勝ち probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.35
Expected goals
0.77
ボタフォゴSPアメリカMG
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ボタフォゴSP signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アメリカMG signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ボタフォゴSP vs アメリカMG FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ボタフォゴSP 勝ち 50%,引き分け 30%,アメリカMG 勝ち 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · オーバー 2.5 36% · Current selection アンダー