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BRA Brazil Serie B · Partida ·

Botafogo de Ribeirão Preto vs America MG

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa50%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante20%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo de Ribeirão PretoAmerica MG
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo64% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
50% / 30% / 20%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes America MG win (19.7%)Dupla Chance1X80.3%1.25
Acima 36% · Abaixo 64%Goals 2.5Abaixo64%1.56
Sim 40% · Não 60%Ambas as equipes marcamNão60%1.67
2.12 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
11.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapAmerica MG winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo de Ribeirão Preto win50%2.001.8550.3%-0.3 pp
Empate30%3.333.1030%0.0 pp
America MG win20%5.004.7519.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo de Ribeirão Preto1.35

Mandante share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 36% · Abaixo 64%

America MG0.77

Visitante share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 40% · Não 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Botafogo de Ribeirão Preto

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

America MG

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.35
Expected goals
0.77
Botafogo de Ribeirão PretoAmerica MG
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo de Ribeirão Preto signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02America MG signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Botafogo de Ribeirão Preto vs America MG FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo de Ribeirão Preto ganhou 50%,Empate 30%,America MG ganhou 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Acima 2.5 36% · Current selection Abaixo