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BRA Brasil - Serie B · Partido ·

Botafogo SP vs América MG

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local50%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante20%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo SPAmérica MG
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de64% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
50% / 30% / 20%Resultado del partidoVictoria local50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes América MG win (19.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X80.3%1.25
Más de 36% · Menos de 64%Goals 2.5Menos de64%1.56
Sí 40% · No 60%Ambos equipos marcanNo60%1.67
2.12 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
11.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapAmérica MG winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo SP win50%2.001.8550.3%-0.3 pp
Empate30%3.333.1030%0.0 pp
América MG win20%5.004.7519.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo SP1.35

Local share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 36% · Menos de 64%

América MG0.77

Visitante share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Botafogo SP

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

América MG

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Ganado probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.35
Expected goals
0.77
Botafogo SPAmérica MG
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo SP signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02América MG signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Botafogo SP vs América MG FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo SP ganada 50%,Empate 30%,América MG ganada 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Más de 2.5 36% · Current selection Menos de