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BRA Brazil Serie B · Матч ·

Ботафого СП vs America MG

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев50%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ботафого СПAmerica MG
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
50% / 30% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes America MG win (19.7%)Двойной шанс1X80.3%1.25
Больше 36% · Меньше 64%Goals 2.5Меньше64%1.56
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
2.12 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
11.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapAmerica MG winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ботафого СП win50%2.001.8550.3%-0.3 pp
Ничья30%3.333.1030%0.0 pp
America MG win20%5.004.7519.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ботафого СП1.35

Хозяева share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 36% · Меньше 64%

America MG0.77

Гости share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ботафого СП

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

America MG

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.35
Expected goals
0.77
Ботафого СПAmerica MG
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ботафого СП signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02America MG signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ботафого СП vs America MG FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ботафого СП выигрыш 50%,Ничья 30%,America MG выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · ТБ 2.5 36% · Current selection Меньше