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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Матч ·

Локомотив 1929 София vs ЦСКА 1948 София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.12 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев27%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей47%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей47% selection probability
Projected score1–2Локомотив 1929 СофияЦСКА 1948 София
Expected goals3.12Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
27% / 26% / 47%Исход матчаПобеда гостей47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Двойной шанс1273.7%1.36
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 60% · Нет 40%Обе забьютДа60%1.67
3.12 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Локомотив 1929 София win27%3.70
Ничья26%3.85
ЦСКА 1948 София win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Локомотив 1929 София1.21

Хозяева share of expected goals 38.8%

Total expected goals3.12Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

ЦСКА 1948 София1.91

Гости share of expected goals 61.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 60% · Нет 40%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Локомотив 1929 София

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ЦСКА 1948 София

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
47%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.21
Expected goals
1.91
Локомотив 1929 СофияЦСКА 1948 София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Локомотив 1929 София signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЦСКА 1948 София signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Локомотив 1929 София vs ЦСКА 1948 София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Локомотив 1929 София выигрыш 27%,Ничья 26%,ЦСКА 1948 София выигрыш 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше