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BGR Bulgarije - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.12 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst27%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst47%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst47% selection probability
Projected score1–2Lokomotiv 1929 SofiaCSKA 1948 Sofia
Expected goals3.12Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
27% / 26% / 47%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dubbele Kans1273.7%1.36
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
3.12 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win27%3.70
Gelijkspel26%3.85
CSKA 1948 Sofia win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.21

Thuis share of expected goals 38.8%

Total expected goals3.12Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

CSKA 1948 Sofia1.91

Uit share of expected goals 61.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CSKA 1948 Sofia

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
47%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.21
Expected goals
1.91
Lokomotiv 1929 SofiaCSKA 1948 Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CSKA 1948 Sofia signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia gewonnen 27%,Gelijkspel 26%,CSKA 1948 Sofia gewonnen 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven