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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

ロコモティフ1929ソフィア vs CSKA 1948ソフィア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–23.12 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利27%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利47%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利47% selection probability
Projected score1–2ロコモティフ1929ソフィアCSKA 1948ソフィア
Expected goals3.12始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
27% / 26% / 47%試合結果アウェイ勝利47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)ダブルチャンス1273.7%1.36
オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%Goals 2.5オーバー60%1.67
はい 60% · いいえ 40%両チーム得点はい60%1.67
3.12 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ロコモティフ1929ソフィア win27%3.70
引き分け26%3.85
CSKA 1948ソフィア win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ロコモティフ1929ソフィア1.21

ホーム share of expected goals 38.8%

Total expected goals3.12始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%

CSKA 1948ソフィア1.91

アウェイ share of expected goals 61.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 60% · いいえ 40%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ロコモティフ1929ソフィア

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

CSKA 1948ソフィア

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
勝ち probability excluding draw
47%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.21
Expected goals
1.91
ロコモティフ1929ソフィアCSKA 1948ソフィア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ロコモティフ1929ソフィア signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CSKA 1948ソフィア signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ロコモティフ1929ソフィア vs CSKA 1948ソフィア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ロコモティフ1929ソフィア 勝ち 27%,引き分け 26%,CSKA 1948ソフィア 勝ち 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · オーバー 2.5 60% · Current selection オーバー